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Tirsense vs Chaves B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Silva F.
84' Event
Cunha T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tirsense
15%
Draws
42%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Chaves B at 1.4 per game, Tirsense at 1.1.
  • Tirsense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Chaves B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Chaves B
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs Tirsense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cunha T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 68 / 100
Chaves B 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Chaves B has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Tirsense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS Chaves B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
Page 1 of 6

Chaves B

(Away)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)