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Tirsense vs Machico

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Manga F.
77' Event
Campos N.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Lourenco O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tirsense
20%
Draws
38%
Machico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tirsense average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Machico's 1.07.
  • Win probability leans Tirsense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Machico Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Machico
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Machico
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Machico vs Tirsense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Manga F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Machico Compare

Top Goalscorer Lourenco O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 50 / 100
Machico 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Machico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tirsense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Machico conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS Machico
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
Page 1 of 6

Machico

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Machico
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)