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Tirsense vs Santa Marta Penaguiao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tirsense
11%
Draws
9%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Marta Penaguiao haven't matched Tirsense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tirsense a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Santa Marta Penaguiao
Matches Played 36 27
Wins 15 6
Draws 15 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
1:1
Nov 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Tirsense
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 86 / 100
Santa Marta Penaguiao 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Santa Marta Penaguiao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Tirsense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Santa Marta Penaguiao let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276