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Stadium Background

Tirsense vs Varzim

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Sousa V.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Tirsense and Varzim finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varzim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tirsense
30%
Draws
39%
Varzim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varzim come out ahead of Tirsense on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tirsense taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 20%
Varzim Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tirsense Varzim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 13 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Tirsense vs Varzim
0:1
Aug 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Varzim vs Tirsense
1:1
Jan 4, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Varzim vs Tirsense
2:0
Oct 26, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs Varzim
0:0
May 11, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs Varzim
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tirsense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46

Varzim Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tirsense 36 / 100
Varzim 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tirsense Varzim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tirsense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varzim has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Tirsense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tirsense VS Varzim
0.57 Goals Scored 0.88
0.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
14% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tirsense

(Home)
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
12 Apr
AD Limianos
0 : 0
Tirsense
04 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Desportivo Moncao
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Varzim

(Away)
16 Aug
Varzim
2 : 1
AD Marco 09
09 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1
Varzim
02 Aug
Varzim
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
15 Jul
Tondela
1 : 0
Varzim
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