Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiverton vs Walton & Hersham

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Horan R.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Tiverton and Walton & Hersham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Walton & Hersham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tiverton
6%
Draws
90%
Walton & Hersham
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Walton & Hersham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tiverton haven't matched Walton & Hersham's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Walton & Hersham a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Walton & Hersham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 10%
Walton & Hersham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiverton Walton & Hersham
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Walton & Hersham
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Walton & Hersham vs Tiverton
6:0
Feb 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Walton & Hersham vs Tiverton
3:0
Nov 30, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Walton & Hersham
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Walton & Hersham vs Tiverton
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiverton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Walton & Hersham Compare

Top Goalscorer Horan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiverton 10 / 100
Walton & Hersham 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiverton Walton & Hersham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Walton & Hersham has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Walton & Hersham lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tiverton found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Tiverton VS Walton & Hersham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Walton & Hersham42295894:4292
2Farnham42259890:5084
3Gloucester City422571093:5182
4Poole Town422112980:5075
5Berkhamsted Town422191262:5072
6Sholing421815974:5369
7Chertsey Town4219101364:5567
8Gosport Borough421961774:7563
9Uxbridge4215141374:7059
10Havant & Waterlooville421771878:7058
11Plymouth Parkway421681864:7956
12Bracknell Town4215101770:7155
13Yate4214101857:6252
14Hanwell Town4214101857:6352
15Wimborne4212151563:6251
16Taunton Town421491965:7051
17Basingstoke421491961:7151
18Evesham4211141751:6247
19Weymouth421382153:7147
20Dorchester429132048:7940
21Hungerford429112247:8738
22Tiverton42533439:11518