Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Tivoli host Chapelton in the Premier League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tivoli have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Chapelton's 1.16 scored and 1.47 conceded. Past meetings favor Chapelton slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.94 - 1.94) back Chapelton to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chapelton have won more games recently than Tivoli.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tivoli | Chapelton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tivoli found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).
Chapelton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Chapelton lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tivoli
(Home)Chapelton
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Tru-Juice FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 3 | Tivoli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Montego Bay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Waterhouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Arnett Gardens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 7 | Cavalier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Molynes United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 9 | Chapelton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Treasure Beach | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 11 | Portmore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Dunbeholden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 13 | Mount Pleasant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 14 | Humble Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
