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Tivoli vs Humble Lions Prediction & H2H Stats

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Edward Seaga Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Williams L.
41' Event
Johnson A.
90' Event
Deacon D.

AI Match Summary

Tivoli in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tivoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tivoli
20%
Draws
0%
Humble Lions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tivoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Tivoli have won more games recently than Humble Lions.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Tivoli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tivoli Clean Sheet 20%
Humble Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tivoli Humble Lions
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Tivoli vs Humble Lions
3:0
Mar 6, 2025 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Tivoli
3:2
Dec 29, 2024 Premier League
Tivoli vs Humble Lions
5:1
Sep 22, 2024 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Tivoli
0:0
Feb 11, 2024 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Tivoli
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tivoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Humble Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tivoli 49 / 100
Humble Lions 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tivoli Humble Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tivoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Humble Lions conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Humble Lions has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tivoli scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Tivoli VS Humble Lions
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tivoli

(Home)
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1
Chapelton
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
06 May
Portmore
3 : 0
Tivoli
03 May
Tivoli
0 : 2
Cavalier
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Humble Lions

(Away)
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
04 May
Humble Lions
0 : 4
Mount Pleasant
27 Apr
Racing United
2 : 1
Humble Lions
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tru-Juice FC 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Montego Bay 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Waterhouse 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
4 Cavalier 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
5 Racing United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Tivoli 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
7 Chapelton 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
8 Portmore 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
9 Arnett Gardens 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
10 Molynes United 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11 Mount Pleasant 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
12 Treasure Beach 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
13 FC Dunbeholden 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
14 Humble Lions 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)