Sport Picks
Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala 
AI Match Summary
Tlaxcala host Leones Negros in the Liga de Expansion MX. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Tlaxcala at 0.75 goals for, 1 against; Leones Negros at 0.88 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Leones Negros slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (1.06 - 0.94) back Tlaxcala to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Leones Negros average 0.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Tlaxcala's 0.75.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tlaxcala | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.
Tlaxcala scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Leones Negros has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Recent resilience: Tlaxcala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tlaxcala
(Home)Leones Negros
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Venados FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Correcaminos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Leones Negros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Alacranes de Durango | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Jaiba Brava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Cancun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Atletico La Paz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Piratas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |