Sport Picks
Tlaxcala vs Venados FC
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Tlahuicole 
AI Match Summary
Tlaxcala play Venados FC in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tlaxcala averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Venados FC averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Tlaxcala won 1, Venados FC won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Tlaxcala and 1.19 for Venados FC. This points to a Venados FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tlaxcala picked up more points recently compared to Venados FC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tlaxcala | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tlaxcala Compare
Venados FC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tlaxcala scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Venados FC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Tlaxcala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Venados FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |