Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tluchowo vs Blekitni Stargard

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Prawucki K.
22' Event
Niedojad-Bednarczyk D.
64' Event
Zaborowski A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Tluchowo and Blekitni Stargard finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blekitni Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tluchowo
15%
Draws
45%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Blekitni Stargard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Blekitni Stargard are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tluchowo Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Blekitni Stargard
1:4
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Tluchowo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tluchowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaborowski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Prawucki K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Niedojad-Bednarczyk D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tluchowo 10 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tluchowo Blekitni Stargard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Tluchowo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Blekitni Stargard let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Tluchowo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tluchowo VS Blekitni Stargard
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tluchowo

(Home)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

Blekitni Stargard

(Away)
08 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Blekitni Stargard
01 Aug
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
17 Jul
Swit Szczecin
0 : 1
Blekitni Stargard
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
30 May
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)