Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tluchowo vs Nowe Skalmierzyce

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Golinski J.
66' Event
Donavan
80' Event
Perveinis M.

AI Match Summary

Nowe Skalmierzyce in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nowe Skalmierzyce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tluchowo
15%
Draws
37%
Nowe Skalmierzyce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tluchowo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nowe Skalmierzyce lately — more wins on the board than Tluchowo.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Nowe Skalmierzyce taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tluchowo Nowe Skalmierzyce
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
1:3
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Tluchowo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tluchowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Donavan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare

Top Goalscorer Golinski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perveinis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tluchowo 26 / 100
Nowe Skalmierzyce 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tluchowo Nowe Skalmierzyce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tluchowo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nowe Skalmierzyce conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tluchowo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tluchowo VS Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tluchowo

(Home)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
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Nowe Skalmierzyce

(Away)
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0
Blekitni Stargard
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)