Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Tluchowo

0 - 1

Zawisza

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Rak S.

90'

Lusiusz M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Tluchowo and Zawisza finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zawisza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tluchowo

39%

Draws

30%

Zawisza

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Tluchowo haven't matched Zawisza's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%

Zawisza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tluchowo	Zawisza
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	8	20
Draws	5	2
Losses	15	5
Goals Scored	2	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Tluchowo vs Zawisza

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Aug 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Zawisza vs Tluchowo

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 2 - 4

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tluchowo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rak S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tluchowo 30 / 100

Zawisza 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tluchowo Zawisza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAW Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tluchowo scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Tluchowo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zawisza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tluchowo VS Zawisza

2 Goals Scored 2.13

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15