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TMT vs BST Galaxy

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Njie O.
52' Event
Marong M.

AI Match Summary

BST Galaxy in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored BST Galaxy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
TMT
20%
Draws
33%
BST Galaxy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TMT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BST Galaxy lately — more wins on the board than TMT.
  • Model gives TMT a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
TMT Clean Sheet 68%
BST Galaxy Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TMT BST Galaxy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 GFA League
TMT vs BST Galaxy
0:2
Jan 10, 2026 GFA League
BST Galaxy vs TMT
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 GFA League
BST Galaxy vs TMT
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 GFA League
TMT vs BST Galaxy
0:2
May 3, 2024 GFA League
TMT vs BST Galaxy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TMT Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

BST Galaxy Compare

Top Goalscorer Njie O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marong M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TMT 59 / 100
BST Galaxy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TMT BST Galaxy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TMT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BST Galaxy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

TMT went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

TMT's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

TMT VS BST Galaxy
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TMT

(Home)
22 Jun
Team Rhino
1 : 2
TMT
16 Jun
TMT
1 : 1
Hawks
11 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 4
TMT
04 Jun
TMT
0 : 1
Bombada
25 May
Hart Academy
0 : 1
TMT
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BST Galaxy

(Away)
22 Jun
BST Galaxy
4 : 1
Bombada
16 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1
BST Galaxy
11 Jun
BST Galaxy
2 : 2
Steve Biko
04 Jun
Fortune
4 : 0
BST Galaxy
25 May
BST Galaxy
0 : 1
Real Banjul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)