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TMT vs Samger

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
TMT Logo

TMT

1 - 0
FT
Samger Logo

Samger

Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Saine A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between TMT and Samger finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TMT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
TMT
35%
Draws
27%
Samger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TMT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TMT come out ahead of Samger on wins alone.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and TMT have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
TMT Clean Sheet 68%
Samger Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TMT Samger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 14
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.67 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 GFA League
TMT vs Samger
1:0
Dec 28, 2025 GFA League
Samger vs TMT
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 GFA League
Samger vs TMT
0:2
Jan 19, 2024 GFA League
TMT vs Samger
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TMT Compare

Top Goalscorer Saine A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Samger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TMT 41 / 100
Samger 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TMT Samger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TMT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samger let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

TMT has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

TMT's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

TMT VS Samger
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TMT

(Home)
22 Jun
Team Rhino
1 : 2
TMT
16 Jun
TMT
1 : 1
Hawks
11 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 4
TMT
04 Jun
TMT
0 : 1
Bombada
25 May
Hart Academy
0 : 1
TMT
Page 1 of 6

Samger

(Away)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)