Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Sub
Cuddihy O. In: Lester J.
Out: Cuddihy O.
37'
37'
Daley N.
42'
42'
Nolan Z.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between TNS and Barry Town finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TNS.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- TNS carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives TNS a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors TNS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
TNS Clean Sheet 68%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TNS | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 19 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs TNS
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 League Cup
TNS vs Barry Town
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TNS Compare
Top Goalscorer Hughes R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Barry Town Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TNS 77 / 100
Barry Town 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TNS Barry Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TNS scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
TNS went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Barry Town let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
TNS VS Barry Town
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
TNS
(Home) 19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1 Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0 Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2 TNS
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1 Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0 Flint Town
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
28 Aug
TNS
5 : 1 Colwyn Bay
14 Aug
TNS
1 : 0 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 4
Barry Town
(Away) 18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Barry Town
07 Aug
Flint Town
2 : 3 Barry Town
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 33:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Connahs Q. | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:20 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:24 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | 3 |
| 15 | Flint Town | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8:24 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11:35 | 1 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
