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TNS vs Barry Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Park Hall, Oswestry
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Cuddihy O. In: Lester J.
Out: Cuddihy O.
37'
Daley N.
42'
Nolan Z.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between TNS and Barry Town finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TNS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
TNS
20%
Draws
28%
Barry Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • TNS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TNS a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TNS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
TNS Clean Sheet 68%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Barry Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.48 2
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs TNS
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 League Cup
TNS vs Barry Town
0:2
Jan 24, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Barry Town
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Barry Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 95 / 100
Barry Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Barry Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

TNS went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Barry Town let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Barry Town
4.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
06 Nov
Llandudno FC
0 : 1
TNS
31 Oct
TNS
0 : 0
Connahs Q.
23 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Ammanford Town
16 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
1 : 2
TNS
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
Page 1 of 6

Barry Town

(Away)
06 Nov
Cambrian United
3 : 3
Barry Town
30 Oct
Barry Town
3 : 0
Trefelin
24 Oct
Barry Town
1 : 3
Haverfordwest
17 Oct
Barry Town
2 : 0
Tredegar Town
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 16 14 2 0 54:6 44
2 Connahs Q. 16 12 2 2 34:9 38
3 Penybont 15 11 3 1 32:11 36
4 Colwyn Bay 16 10 2 4 28:18 32
5 Airbus UK Broughton FC 16 10 0 6 34:24 30
6 Caernarfon 16 9 2 5 42:21 29
7 Barry Town 16 9 2 5 35:29 29
8 Cardiff Metropolitan University 16 7 4 5 29:23 25
9 Cambrian United 16 5 4 7 26:41 19
10 Llandudno FC 16 5 1 10 22:29 16
11 Haverfordwest 16 5 1 10 12:23 16
12 Briton Ferry 16 4 3 9 17:28 15
13 Flint Town 16 4 2 10 19:27 14
14 Ammanford Town 16 3 3 10 13:43 12
15 Trefelin 16 1 3 12 9:38 6
16 Holywell Town FC 15 0 2 13 16:52 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)