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TNS vs Briton Ferry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Park Hall, Oswestry
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Briton Ferry have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while TNS have conceded 0.72 and scored 2.52. Past meetings favor TNS slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 3.06 vs 1.06, favoring TNS. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
TNS
15%
Draws
35%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • TNS have won more games recently than Briton Ferry.
  • Win probability leans TNS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • TNS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor TNS, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
TNS Clean Sheet 20%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Briton Ferry
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 21 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.52 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Briton Ferry
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs TNS
0:2
Aug 10, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Briton Ferry
0:3
Dec 22, 2024 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Briton Ferry
5:2
Nov 20, 2024 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs TNS
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 85 / 100
Briton Ferry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TNS scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

TNS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Briton Ferry has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Briton Ferry
4.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
31 Oct
TNS
0 : 0
Connahs Q.
23 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Ammanford Town
16 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
1 : 2
TNS
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

Briton Ferry

(Away)
30 Oct
Briton Ferry
3 : 0
Llandudno FC
23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
16 Oct
Briton Ferry
5 : 0
Afan United
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Llannefydd 0
Llandudno FC 1
Cefn Albion 2
Felinheli 3
Trefelin 4
Llantwit Major 1
Coedpoeth 4
Guilsfield 3
Flint Town 1
Caernarfon 3
Llay Welfare 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Pontarddulais 3
Goytre Utd 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Penycae FC 1
Dolgellau Athletic 4
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llangefni 0
Afan Lido 2
Penybont 3
Radnor Valley 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Llantwit Fardre 1
Baglan Dragons 3
Barry Town 2
Tredegar Town 0
Bala 3
Holyhead 4
Blaen-y-Maes 5
Ely Rangers 2
Llangennech 2
Pontardawe 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Newport City 5
Haverfordwest 4
Cardiff Corries 0
Cwmaman Institute 2
Ammanford Town 4
Newtown 7
Llanuwchllyn 0
Caerphilly 1
Chepstow Town 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Llysfaen 0
Mochdre Sports 2
1/16-finals
Llandudno FC -
Felinheli -
Trefelin -
Coedpoeth -
Caernarfon -
Holywell Town FC -
Rockspur -
Pontarddulais -
TNS -
Briton Ferry -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Caerau Ely -
Brickfield Rangers -
Penybont -
Cardiff Draconians -
Colwyn Bay -
Aberystwyth -
Baglan Dragons -
Barry Town -
Holyhead -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Llangennech -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Ammanford Town -
Newtown -
Caerphilly -
Cambrian United -
Bangor 1876 -
Connahs Q. -
Mochdre Sports -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
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