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TNS vs Connahs Q. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Park Hall, Oswestry
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TNS host Connahs Q. in the Cymru Premier. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: TNS at 2.41 goals for, 0.76 against; Connahs Q. at 1.76 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor TNS slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.31, favoring TNS. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
TNS
15%
Draws
42%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • TNS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on TNS taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TNS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
TNS Clean Sheet 18%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Connahs Q.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.41 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Connahs Q.
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs TNS
1:2
Dec 31, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs TNS
3:1
Sep 10, 2025 League Cup
Connahs Q. vs TNS
1:3
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Connahs Q.
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 85 / 100
Connahs Q. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Connahs Q.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

TNS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Connahs Q.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Connahs Q.
3.75 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
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Connahs Q.

(Away)
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)