Sport Picks

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TNS vs Haverfordwest

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Park Hall, Oswestry
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lock J.
46'
Sub
Hackett J. In: Hawkins D.
Out: Hackett J.
46'
Sub
Phillips B. In: Ahmun B.
Out: Phillips B.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between TNS and Haverfordwest finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TNS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
TNS
20%
Draws
51%
Haverfordwest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • TNS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Haverfordwest's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TNS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
TNS Clean Sheet 12%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS Haverfordwest
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Haverfordwest
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs TNS
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Haverfordwest
5:0
Apr 19, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs TNS
1:3
Mar 8, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Haverfordwest
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lock J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Haverfordwest Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS 19 / 100
Haverfordwest 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS Haverfordwest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

TNS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Haverfordwest let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

TNS VS Haverfordwest
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS

(Home)
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0
TNS
30 Jul
TNS
1 : 1
Flora
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0
TNS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 6

Haverfordwest

(Away)
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
01 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0
Llanelli
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Caerau Ely
18 Jul
Gloucester City
0 : 1
Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff Metropolitan University 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Llandudno FC 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Barry Town 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
4 Colwyn Bay 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 TNS 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
6 Briton Ferry 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Penybont 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
8 Connahs Q. 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
9 Caernarfon 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Airbus UK Broughton FC 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
11 Ammanford Town 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
12 Cambrian United 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
13 Flint Town 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
14 Haverfordwest 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
15 Trefelin 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
16 Holywell Town FC 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)