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TNS W vs Aberystwyth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women Park Hall, Oswestry
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TNS W host Aberystwyth W in the Adran Premier Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Aberystwyth W have shipped 2.64 goals a game lately, while TNS W have conceded 1.55 and scored 2.52. Past meetings favor TNS W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 0:7. Model xG sits at 3.31 vs 1.19, favoring TNS W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
TNS W
15%
Draws
7%
Aberystwyth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TNS W lately — more wins on the board than Aberystwyth W.
  • Win probability leans TNS W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TNS W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
TNS W Clean Sheet 20%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TNS W Aberystwyth W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.52 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs TNS W
0:7
Jan 25, 2026 Adran Premier Women
TNS W vs Aberystwyth W
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs TNS W
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs TNS W
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Adran Premier Women
TNS W vs Aberystwyth W
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TNS W 85 / 100
Aberystwyth W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TNS W Aberystwyth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TNS W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Aberystwyth W let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: TNS W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TNS W VS Aberystwyth W
3.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TNS W

(Home)
18 Oct
Cardiff City W
1 : 0
TNS W
11 Oct
TNS W
3 : 1
Briton Ferry W
04 Oct
Wrexham W
2 : 3
TNS W
27 Sept
TNS W
4 : 3
Swansea W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
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Aberystwyth W

(Away)
18 Oct
Aberystwyth W
2 : 2
Barry Town W
11 Oct
Aberystwyth W
0 : 10
Cardiff City W
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wrexham W 7 6 0 1 40:7 18
2 TNS W 7 6 0 1 28:8 18
3 Cardiff City W 7 5 0 2 28:11 15
4 Swansea W 7 4 0 3 15:17 12
5 Briton Ferry W 7 3 1 3 19:17 10
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 7 1 2 4 7:23 5
7 Barry Town W 7 0 2 5 7:32 2
8 Aberystwyth W 7 0 1 6 4:33 1
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)