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Tobacco Road vs Myrtle Beach

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Myrtle Beach in this USL Premier Development League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Myrtle Beach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tobacco Road
20%
Draws
57%
Myrtle Beach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Myrtle Beach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Myrtle Beach have won more games recently than Tobacco Road.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Myrtle Beach taking it.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Myrtle Beach have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Tobacco Road Clean Sheet 11%
Myrtle Beach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobacco Road Myrtle Beach
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1.77 2.7
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2018 USL League Two
Myrtle Beach vs Tobacco Road
3:1
Jul 6, 2018 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Myrtle Beach
1:4
May 30, 2018 USL League Two
Myrtle Beach vs Tobacco Road
3:1
Jun 3, 2017 USL League Two
Myrtle Beach vs Tobacco Road
2:4
May 19, 2017 USL League Two
Tobacco Road vs Myrtle Beach
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobacco Road 10 / 100
Myrtle Beach 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobacco Road Myrtle Beach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myrtle Beach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobacco Road scored in 89% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Myrtle Beach conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tobacco Road stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobacco Road VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobacco Road

(Home)
11 Jul
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Port City
08 Jul
Salem City
1 : 3
Tobacco Road
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
27 Jun
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Wake FC
24 Jun
Hickory FC
4 : 0
Tobacco Road
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Myrtle Beach

(Away)
20 Jul
Reading
4 : 3
Myrtle Beach
15 Jul
Myrtle Beach
1 : 1
South Georgia Tormenta II
11 Jul
Myrtle Beach
3 : 1
Tobacco Road
06 Jul
Tobacco Road
1 : 4
Myrtle Beach
30 Jun
Myrtle Beach
5 : 3
Lionsbridge
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