Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019

Tobermore

5 - 3

Ardstraw

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-3, with Tobermore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Tobermore

15%

Draws

64%

Ardstraw

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardstraw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Tobermore carry the better recent record into this one.
64% — that's where the model lands on Ardstraw taking it.
Tobermore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tobermore, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 96%

Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 35%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%

Ardstraw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tobermore	Ardstraw
Matches Played	30	14
Wins	10	7
Draws	0	0
Losses	20	7
Goals Scored	2.1	3.29
Goals Conceded	2.63	2.93
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	3.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 Irish Cup

Tobermore vs Ardstraw

5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobermore 10 / 100

Ardstraw 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tobermore Ardstraw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardstraw Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ardstraw conceded in 93% of 14 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Tobermore found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Tobermore stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobermore VS Ardstraw

2.25 Goals Scored 3.6

3.38 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 100%

75% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

(Home)

13 Aug

Tobermore

3 : 4

Queens University

25 Nov

Willowbank

3 : 2

Tobermore

19 Aug

Limavady

6 : 1

Tobermore

22 Jul

Coleraine

2 : 1

Tobermore

15 Jul

Harland & Wolff

3 : 5

Tobermore

Page 1 of 6

Ardstraw

(Away)

02 Nov

Ardstraw

1 : 2

Islandmagee

28 Sept

Ardstraw

4 : 1

Wakehurst

17 Aug

Fivemiletown

2 : 3

Ardstraw

29 Sept

Tobermore

5 : 3

Ardstraw

18 Aug

Ardstraw

7 : 0

Dromore Amateurs

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 6

Cookstown Youth 1

Aquinas 3

Foundry 4

Moneyslane FC -

TBD -

Bangor Swifts 1

Crumlin United 2

Newtowne FC 6

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Broomhedge 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 12

Annagh -

TBD -

Rosemount Rec -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

St Luke's 0

TBD -

Dundonald -

Dunmurry Rec 4

Mossley FC 3

Iveagh Utd 2

Dungiven 5

Lurgan Town Boys -

TBD -

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Desertmartin 3

Armagh -

TBD -

Hanover 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Sofia Farmer 1

Seapatrick 1

Coagh Utd 6

Ards Rangers -

TBD -

Holywood 1

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge -

TBD -

Dunmurry Y.M. 4

Rathfriland Rangers 5

Ballymoney 2

Rosario Youth 1

Derriaghy 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Ardstraw 7

Dromore Amateurs 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Brantwood 4

Orangefield Old Boys' 2

Saintfield 1

Laurelvale 3

Valley Rangers 3

Tandragee 2

TBD -

Newington FC -

Comber Rec 1

Immaculata 0

Dromara 1

Lisburn Rangers 2

Downshire Y.M. -

TBD -

Drumaness -

Shankill -

TBD -

Bangor Old Boys -

Wellington Rec -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 9

Malachians 2

Lower Maze 2

Trojans 3

Ballynahinch United 3

Groomsport 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Woodvale 2

St. Patricks Young 3

Oxford Sunnyside 6

Bryansburn 3

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Markethill 3

Killyleagh Youth 5

Banbridge Rangers 2

Sirocco 0

Glebe 1

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Ballymacash 1

Kilmore Rec 3

Moyola -

TBD -

Crewe -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa -

TBD -

Chimney 2

Grove 5

Colin Valley 2

Suffolk 1

Silverwood 1

Shorts 8

Fivemiletown 7

Bloomfield 0

Oxford Stars 0

Wakehurst 1

Bangor Amateurs FC 3

Newcastle 2

Tullyvallen Rangers 3

Tullycarnet 4

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 2

Foundry 1

Moneyslane FC 1

Crumlin United 5

Newtowne FC 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 0

Annagh 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Dundonald 0

Dunmurry Rec 1

Dungiven 4

Lurgan Town Boys 4

Desertmartin 1

Armagh 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 4

Coagh Utd 2

Ards Rangers 0

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge 3

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Ballymoney 1

Strabane Athletic 5

Queens University 4

Dollingstown 3

Ardstraw 3

Tobermore 5

Brantwood 2

Laurelvale 1

Valley Rangers 1

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 4

Lisburn Rangers 1

Downshire Y.M. 0

Drumaness 4

Shankill 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Wellington Rec 0

Lisburn Distillery 2

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 3

Trojans 1

Ballynahinch United 3

Seagoe 4

Lurgan Celtic -

St. Patricks Young -

Oxford Sunnyside -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Banbridge Rangers 0

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure 2

Kilmore Rec 1

Moyola 1

Crewe 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Grove 3

Colin Valley 3

Shorts 4

Fivemiletown 3

Wakehurst 2

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

Tullycarnet 1

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 3

Crumlin United 1

Newtowne FC 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dungiven 1

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Newbuildings 0

Banbridge 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Tobermore 3

Brantwood 2

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 2

Drumaness 1

Shankill 2

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 4

Seagoe 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Portstewart 3

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 5

Bangor FC 3

Sport & Leisure 0

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 3

Shorts 1

Fivemiletown 1

Tullycarnet 2

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 1

Rosemount Rec 3

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dunloy 0

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 4

Newington FC 1

Comber Rec 3

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 1

Portstewart 0

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 2

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Tullycarnet 3

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Ballinamallard 5

PSNI 1

Ards 0

Carrick Rangers 1

Glenavon 5

Rosemount Rec 0

Cliftonville 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Limavady 0

Knockbreda 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Lisburn Distillery 0

Institute 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 2

Harland & Wolff 0

Maiden City 2

Dergview 3

Crumlin Star 4

Loughgall 1

Newry City 1

Larne 2

Ballymena 3

Dundela 1

Abbey Villa 1

Portadown 5

Linfield 1

Ballyclare 0

Glentoran 1

Crusaders 4

1/8-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Glenavon 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Strabane Athletic 1

Queens University 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 3

Dergview 0

Crumlin Star 1

Larne 3

Ballymena 4

Portadown 1

Linfield 1

Crusaders 2

Quarter-finals

Ballinamallard 3

Dungannon 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Warrenpoint 3

Coleraine 5

Larne 3

Ballymena 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Warrenpoint 0

Coleraine 0

Crusaders 2

Final

Ballinamallard 0

Crusaders 3

Tobermore vs Ardstraw

Northern Ireland

Tobermore

Ardstraw

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

Ardstraw

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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