Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobermore vs Desertmartin

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Tobermore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tobermore
15%
Draws
42%
Desertmartin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobermore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Tobermore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tobermore's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Tobermore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tobermore, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%
Desertmartin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobermore Desertmartin
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 10 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Irish Cup
Tobermore vs Desertmartin
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobermore 38 / 100
Desertmartin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobermore Desertmartin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobermore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desertmartin let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Tobermore's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Desertmartin lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobermore VS Desertmartin
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

(Home)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
Page 1 of 6

Desertmartin

(Away)
17 Aug
Trojans
3 : 1
Desertmartin
29 Sept
Lurgan Town Boys
4 : 1
Desertmartin
18 Aug
Desertmartin
3 : 2
Ballynure Old Boys
30 Sept
Newtowne FC
4 : 2
Desertmartin
01 Oct
Tobermore
6 : 0
Desertmartin
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Nortel -
St. Marys -
TBD -
Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
TBD -
Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
TBD -
Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St Luke's -
TBD -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness -
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Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
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Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
TBD -
Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
TBD -
Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
TBD -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
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TBD -
Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0