Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobermore vs Killyleagh Youth

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tobermore in this Irish Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tobermore
6%
Draws
90%
Killyleagh Youth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Killyleagh Youth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Killyleagh Youth lately — more wins on the board than Tobermore.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Killyleagh Youth taking it.
  • Killyleagh Youth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tobermore, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%
Killyleagh Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobermore Killyleagh Youth
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.8
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 Irish Cup
Killyleagh Youth vs Tobermore
3:1
Jan 17, 2009 Irish Cup
Tobermore vs Killyleagh Youth
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobermore 10 / 100
Killyleagh Youth 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobermore Killyleagh Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tobermore found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Killyleagh Youth let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Tobermore has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tobermore VS Killyleagh Youth
2.25 Goals Scored 1.8
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 60%
100% Over 2.5 60%
75% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

(Home)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
Page 1 of 7

Killyleagh Youth

(Away)
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2
Portadown
02 Nov
Hanover
3 : 2
Killyleagh Youth
28 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
1 : 0
Downshire Y.M.
17 Aug
Rosario Youth
0 : 1
Killyleagh Youth
29 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
2 : 3
Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh3
Ballymacash1
Lisburn Rangers0
Rathfriland Rangers1
Fivemiletown-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff1
Warrenpoint2
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Raceview2
Donard1
Sport & Leisure0
Dromara3
Kilmore Rec3
East Belfast1
Markethill2
U. U. Coleraine4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Donegal-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Malachians-
TBD-
Portadown BBOB0
Tandragee7
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oxford Stars-
TBD-
TBD-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banbridge-
Killyleagh Youth-
TBD-
TBD-
Lower Maze-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Killymoon-
Queens University3
Desertmartin0
TBD-
Brantwood-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobermore-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glebe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosario Youth5
Chimney0
TBD-
Newington FC-
PSNI-
TBD-
TBD-
Foundry-
Churchill-
TBD-
Seagoe1
Newcastle3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wellington Rec3
Downshire Y.M.2
Bangor Old Boys1
Dunmurry Y.M.4
Ards Rangers-
TBD-
Lurgan Town Boys2
Islandmagee4
Downpatrick4
Barn0
TBD-
Knockbreda-
Moyola3
Laurelvale2
TBD-
Hanover-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Drumaness2
Holywood1
Sirocco2
Bryansburn3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Portstewart3
Comber Rec2
Bloomfield1
Grove4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coagh Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Saintfield-
TBD-
Wakehurst0
Dundela2
Dunmurry Rec2
Ballynure Old Boys1
TBD-
Abbey Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
Larne-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Strabane FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Dollingstown-
Nortel-
TBD-
Magherafelt0
Draperstown2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newbuildings6
Roe Valley1
Oxford Sunnyside1
Dungiven2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballyclare-
Ballymoney-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dunaghy-
TBD-
Crewe2
Crumlin United3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/64-finals
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh5
Rathfriland Rangers0
Fivemiletown1
Warrenpoint3
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
Raceview3
Dromara4
Kilmore Rec3
U. U. Coleraine1
TBD-
Donegal-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Malachians2
Tandragee1
TBD-
Ards-
Limavady-
TBD-
Oxford Stars0
Lurgan Celtic1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Banbridge-
Killyleagh Youth2
Lower Maze0
TBD-
Killymoon-
Queens University2
Brantwood1
TBD-
Tobermore-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glebe-
TBD-
Rosario Youth2
Newington FC4
PSNI4
Foundry3
Churchill3
Newcastle6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wellington Rec3
Dunmurry Y.M.2
Ards Rangers3
Islandmagee4
Downpatrick4
Knockbreda2
Moyola1
Hanover3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Drumaness4
Bryansburn1
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Portstewart1
Grove0
TBD-
Coagh Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
Portadown-
TBD-
Saintfield0
Dundela5
Dunmurry Rec1
Abbey Villa0
TBD-
Dergview-
Larne-
TBD-
Strabane FC2
Dollingstown6
Nortel5
Draperstown3
TBD-
Loughgall-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newbuildings3
Dungiven2
TBD-
Ballyclare-
Ballymoney-
TBD-
Dunaghy0
Crumlin United9
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/32-finals
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Annagh0
Warrenpoint1
Ballinamallard3
Dromara1
Kilmore Rec0
Donegal3
Coleraine-
TBD-
Malachians1
Ards2
Limavady5
Lurgan Celtic1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
Armagh0
Banbridge2
Killyleagh Youth2
Killymoon0
Queens University2
Tobermore3
Glenavon-
TBD-
Glebe0
Newington FC2
PSNI6
Newcastle3
TBD-
Linfield-
Institute-
TBD-
Wellington Rec0
Islandmagee3
Downpatrick5
Hanover1
TBD-
Dungannon-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
Drumaness0
Carrick Rangers5
Portstewart3
Coagh Utd2
TBD-
Newry City-
Portadown5
Dundela2
Dunmurry Rec2
Dergview3
Larne3
Dollingstown1
Nortel0
Loughgall5
Ballymena-
TBD-
Newbuildings1
Ballyclare4
Ballymoney2
Crumlin United0
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Cliftonville3
Warrenpoint1
Ballinamallard0
Donegal1
Coleraine3
Ards0
Limavady0
Glentoran3
Lisburn Distillery3
Banbridge0
Killyleagh Youth1
Tobermore4
Glenavon3
Newington FC1
PSNI0
Linfield3
Institute0
Islandmagee3
Downpatrick2
Dungannon7
Bangor FC6
Carrick Rangers2
Portstewart0
Newry City8
Portadown8
Dergview1
Larne3
Loughgall1
Ballymena2
Ballyclare0
Ballymoney0
Crusaders1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville2
Donegal0
Coleraine1
Glentoran2
Lisburn Distillery1
Tobermore0
Glenavon1
Linfield3
Institute1
Dungannon0
Bangor FC0
Newry City1
Portadown5
Loughgall0
Ballymena0
Crusaders1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville1
Glentoran0
Lisburn Distillery0
Linfield3
Institute2
Newry City1
Portadown2
Crusaders5
Semi-finals
Cliftonville3
Linfield2
Institute1
Crusaders4
Final
Cliftonville0
Crusaders1