Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobermore vs Killyleagh Youth

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tobermore in this Irish Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tobermore
15%
Draws
64%
Killyleagh Youth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Killyleagh Youth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Killyleagh Youth lately — more wins on the board than Tobermore.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Killyleagh Youth taking it.
  • Killyleagh Youth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tobermore, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%
Killyleagh Youth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobermore Killyleagh Youth
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 2.16 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.58 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.93 2.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 Irish Cup
Killyleagh Youth vs Tobermore
3:1
Jan 17, 2009 Irish Cup
Tobermore vs Killyleagh Youth
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobermore 10 / 100
Killyleagh Youth 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobermore Killyleagh Youth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Killyleagh Youth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tobermore found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Killyleagh Youth let in goals in 73% of their last 22 matches.

Tobermore has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tobermore VS Killyleagh Youth
2.25 Goals Scored 1.8
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 60%
100% Over 2.5 60%
75% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

(Home)
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4
Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2
Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1
Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1
Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5
Tobermore
Page 1 of 7

Killyleagh Youth

(Away)
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2
Portadown
02 Nov
Hanover
3 : 2
Killyleagh Youth
28 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
1 : 0
Downshire Y.M.
17 Aug
Rosario Youth
0 : 1
Killyleagh Youth
29 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
2 : 3
Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 3
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 1
Warrenpoint 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raceview 2
Donard 1
Sport & Leisure 0
Dromara 3
Kilmore Rec 3
East Belfast 1
Markethill 2
U. U. Coleraine 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians -
TBD -
Portadown BBOB 0
Tandragee 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
TBD -
Lower Maze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 3
Desertmartin 0
TBD -
Brantwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Newington FC -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Churchill -
TBD -
Seagoe 1
Newcastle 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Barn 0
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Moyola 3
Laurelvale 2
TBD -
Hanover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Holywood 1
Sirocco 2
Bryansburn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 3
Comber Rec 2
Bloomfield 1
Grove 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saintfield -
TBD -
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Abbey Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Nortel -
TBD -
Magherafelt 0
Draperstown 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 6
Roe Valley 1
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Dungiven 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunaghy -
TBD -
Crewe 2
Crumlin United 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Fivemiletown 1
Warrenpoint 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Raceview 3
Dromara 4
Kilmore Rec 3
U. U. Coleraine 1
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians 2
Tandragee 1
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth 2
Lower Maze 0
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 2
Brantwood 1
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Newington FC 4
PSNI 4
Foundry 3
Churchill 3
Newcastle 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 2
Ards Rangers 3
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Knockbreda 2
Moyola 1
Hanover 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 4
Bryansburn 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 1
Grove 0
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
Saintfield 0
Dundela 5
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
Strabane FC 2
Dollingstown 6
Nortel 5
Draperstown 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 3
Dungiven 2
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
Dunaghy 0
Crumlin United 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Annagh 0
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 3
Dromara 1
Kilmore Rec 0
Donegal 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
Malachians 1
Ards 2
Limavady 5
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Armagh 0
Banbridge 2
Killyleagh Youth 2
Killymoon 0
Queens University 2
Tobermore 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
Glebe 0
Newington FC 2
PSNI 6
Newcastle 3
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 5
Hanover 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Drumaness 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Portstewart 3
Coagh Utd 2
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown 5
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Dergview 3
Larne 3
Dollingstown 1
Nortel 0
Loughgall 5
Ballymena -
TBD -
Newbuildings 1
Ballyclare 4
Ballymoney 2
Crumlin United 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 3
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 0
Donegal 1
Coleraine 3
Ards 0
Limavady 0
Glentoran 3
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Tobermore 4
Glenavon 3
Newington FC 1
PSNI 0
Linfield 3
Institute 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 2
Dungannon 7
Bangor FC 6
Carrick Rangers 2
Portstewart 0
Newry City 8
Portadown 8
Dergview 1
Larne 3
Loughgall 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tobermore 0
Glenavon 1
Linfield 3
Institute 1
Dungannon 0
Bangor FC 0
Newry City 1
Portadown 5
Loughgall 0
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Linfield 3
Institute 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Linfield 2
Institute 1
Crusaders 4
Final
Cliftonville 0
Crusaders 1