Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-1, with Tobermore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobermore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Mountjoy haven't matched Tobermore's recent run of results.
- Model gives Tobermore a 43% chance of winning this.
- Tobermore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tobermore, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tobermore Clean Sheet 13%
Mountjoy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tobermore | Mountjoy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 7 |
| Wins | 12 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 20 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.53 | 4.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 8, 2012 Irish Cup
Tobermore vs Mountjoy
7:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tobermore 84 / 100
Mountjoy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tobermore Mountjoy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tobermore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mountjoy conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.
H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.
Tobermore scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Difficult form: Mountjoy registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tobermore VS Mountjoy
2.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 8.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Tobermore
(Home) 13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
25 Nov
Willowbank
3 : 2 Tobermore
19 Aug
Limavady
6 : 1 Tobermore
22 Jul
Coleraine
2 : 1 Tobermore
15 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 5 Tobermore
Page 1 of 7
13 Aug
Tobermore
3 : 4 Queens University
06 Aug
Tobermore
1 : 3 Banbridge
26 Jul
Tobermore
1 : 3 Ballymena
07 Aug
Tobermore
1 : 4 Ballymena
02 Nov
Tobermore
1 : 3 Larne Technical Old Boys
Page 1 of 3
Mountjoy
(Away) 28 Jul
Mountjoy
1 : 12 Portadown
14 Jul
Mountjoy
0 : 5 Dungannon
08 Dec
Tobermore
7 : 1 Mountjoy
17 Nov
Sirocco
0 : 1 Mountjoy
19 Nov
Mountjoy
0 : 3 Banbridge Rangers
Page 1 of 2
08 Dec
Tobermore
7 : 1 Mountjoy
17 Nov
Sirocco
0 : 1 Mountjoy
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Rathfern Rangers 1
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Sirocco 0
Mountjoy 1
Drumaness 3
Islandmagee 2
Malachians 3
Kilmore Rec 4
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Immaculata 8
Dunmurry Rec 1
Camlough 2
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballynahinch United 3
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Annagh -
TBD -
Tandragee 0
Rosario Youth 2
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Newcastle 0
Crumlin Star 2
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Killymoon -
TBD -
Crumlin United 1
Dromara 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Loughgall 2
Chimney 0
TBD -
Donegal -
Institute 1
Dergview 0
Ballynure Old Boys 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Tobermore 7
Mountjoy 1
Drumaness -
Kilmore Rec -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Coagh Utd 2
Queens University 3
Banbridge 1
Glebe 0
Dundela 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Immaculata 5
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh 2
Ards 3
Ballymena -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Warrenpoint 4
Ballynahinch United 2
Ballymoney 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Knockbreda 3
Limavady 0
Annagh 3
Rosario Youth 4
Larne 3
Wakehurst 2
Carrick Rangers 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 3
Crumlin Star 0
Portstewart 2
Ballyclare 3
Killymoon 4
Dromara 2
TBD -
Glentoran -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 4
Ballinamallard 2
Loughgall 1
Donegal 3
Institute 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Tobermore 2
Kilmore Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 5
Coagh Utd 1
Queens University 3
Dundela 4
Glenavon 5
Harland & Wolff 1
Linfield 3
Crusaders 4
Portadown 2
Dungannon 1
Immaculata 0
Ards 4
Ballymena 2
Warrenpoint 1
Ballynahinch United 0
Coleraine 7
Knockbreda 5
Rosario Youth 1
Larne 2
Lurgan Celtic 5
Bangor FC 3
Ballyclare 2
Killymoon 1
Glentoran 4
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Institute 0
Kilmore Rec 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
Dundela 1
Glenavon 1
Crusaders 4
Portadown 1
Ards 0
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 3
Knockbreda 3
Lurgan Celtic 0
Bangor FC 2
Glentoran 5
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 2
Kilmore Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Crusaders 3
Portadown 3
Coleraine 0
Knockbreda 1
Glentoran 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 2
Crusaders 0
Portadown 0
Glentoran 1
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 3
