Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017

Tobermore

6 - 0

Shorts

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Tobermore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Tobermore

15%

Draws

57%

Shorts

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shorts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence

Shorts haven't matched Tobermore's recent run of results.
Tobermore are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Tobermore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tobermore, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 95%

Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 39%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Tobermore Clean Sheet 10%

Shorts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tobermore	Shorts
Matches Played	30	11
Wins	10	4
Draws	0	0
Losses	20	7
Goals Scored	2.1	2.64
Goals Conceded	2.63	3.45
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2016 Irish Cup

Tobermore vs Shorts

6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobermore 47 / 100

Shorts 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tobermore Shorts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobermore Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shorts let in goals in 82% of their last 11 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Tobermore found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Shorts has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tobermore VS Shorts

2.25 Goals Scored 3.75

3.38 Goals Conceded 3

100% Over 1.5 100%

100% Over 2.5 100%

75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

(Home)

13 Aug

Tobermore

3 : 4

Queens University

25 Nov

Willowbank

3 : 2

Tobermore

19 Aug

Limavady

6 : 1

Tobermore

22 Jul

Coleraine

2 : 1

Tobermore

15 Jul

Harland & Wolff

3 : 5

Tobermore

Page 1 of 6

Shorts

(Away)

28 Sept

Islandmagee

5 : 2

Shorts

03 Nov

Shorts

1 : 3

Abbey Villa

29 Sept

Colin Valley

3 : 4

Shorts

18 Aug

Silverwood

1 : 8

Shorts

19 Aug

Crumlin Star

9 : 1

Shorts

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

TBD -

Nortel -

St. Marys -

TBD -

Donegal 1

Oxford Stars 3

Glebe 4

Iveagh Utd 0

Portaferry Rovers 2

Silverwood 3

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Moyola 3

Craigavon City 1

Grove 6

Sport & Leisure 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Markethill 4

St. Patricks Young 5

Lurgan Town Boys 2

Laurelvale 1

TBD -

Ards Rangers -

Abbey Villa 5

Holywood 0

Saintfield 0

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Crewe 5

Chimney 0

TBD -

Ardglass -

Crumlin United 4

Shankill 0

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Sofia Farmer 2

Lower Maze 1

Banbridge 0

Limavady 2

Donard -

TBD -

Tullyvallen Rangers 0

Windmill 5

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 4

Rosario Youth 0

Dromore Amateurs 0

Queens University 14

Ballynure Old Boys 4

Foundry 1

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers -

Comber Rec 4

Brantwood 3

Ballywalter Recreation 1

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC -

TBD -

St Luke's -

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 0

Dunloy 3

Strabane Athletic -

TBD -

Dundonald 2

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Desertmartin 2

Newcastle 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown -

Killymoon -

Hanover 2

Sirocco 3

Newry City 7

Oxford Sunnyside 0

Bangor FC 2

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

Rathfern Rangers 0

Dungannon Rovers 0

U. U. Jordanstown 4

Barn -

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness -

TBD -

Bloomfield 3

Seapatrick 4

Camlough -

TBD -

Dromara -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -

Bangor Amateurs FC -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Immaculata 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart -

TBD -

Magherafelt 1

Moneyslane FC 6

Islandmagee 4

Ballymacash 1

TBD -

Killyleagh Youth -

Valley Rangers 3

Newtowne FC 1

TBD -

Seagoe -

Coagh Utd 2

Malachians 1

Banbridge Rangers 4

Derriaghy 5

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/128-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

Nortel -

St. Marys 4

Oxford Stars 5

Glebe 3

Silverwood 2

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Grove 5

Sport & Leisure 2

St. Patricks Young 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 4

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings 2

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 5

Ardglass 1

Crumlin United 2

Ballymoney 3

Sofia Farmer 2

Limavady 0

Donard -

Windmill -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Queens University 0

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Lisburn Rangers 4

Comber Rec 5

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC 1

St Luke's 4

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 8

Dunloy 0

Strabane Athletic 4

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Desertmartin 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Sirocco 1

Newry City 1

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 3

U. U. Jordanstown 2

Barn 1

Dundela 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Seapatrick 0

Camlough 0

Dromara 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2

Ballynahinch United 1

Crumlin Star 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 2

Moneyslane FC 0

Islandmagee 5

Killyleagh Youth 3

Valley Rangers 7

Seagoe 0

Coagh Utd 1

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/64-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 1

Oxford Stars 0

Glebe 0

Grove 1

Sport & Leisure 3

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 2

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 3

Ballymoney 1

Sofia Farmer 0

Windmill 2

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Comber Rec 2

St Luke's 3

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 2

East Belfast 0

Wakehurst 1

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 5

Newington FC 4

Downshire Y.M. 2

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Dromara 1

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 5

Killyleagh Youth 0

Valley Rangers 0

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/32-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 6

Grove 2

Sport & Leisure 1

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 4

Windmill 3

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 3

St Luke's 0

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart 4

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/16-finals

Dungannon 3

Dergview 0

Richhill 1

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 2

Knockbreda 1

Ballinamallard 0

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 2

Ards 0

Lisburn Distillery 1

PSNI 2

Institute 4

Ballyclare 2

Glentoran 1

Linfield 2

Coleraine 5

Carrick Rangers 1

Annagh 0

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff 1

Lurgan Celtic 0

Cliftonville 1

Ballymena 2

Portadown 2

Larne 1

Fivemiletown 0

Loughgall 3

Armagh 2

Trojans 1

Portstewart 1

Glenavon 4

1/8-finals

Dungannon 4

Dollingstown 1

Crewe 0

Warrenpoint 5

Crusaders 2

PSNI 0

Institute 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 1

Tobermore 0

Harland & Wolff 1

Ballymena 3

Portadown 2

Loughgall 1

Armagh 0

Glenavon 2

Quarter-finals

Dungannon 2

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 4

Ballymena 0

Portadown 0

Glenavon 5

Semi-finals

Dungannon 0

Linfield 1

Coleraine 2

Glenavon 1

Final

Linfield 3

Coleraine 0

Tobermore vs Shorts

Northern Ireland

Tobermore

Shorts

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Tobermore

Shorts

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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