Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ToBK vs Poxyt

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Eriksson C.
67'
Varik K.
88' Event
Jalloh M.

AI Match Summary

Poxyt in this Suomen Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ToBK
25%
Draws
35%
Poxyt
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: ToBK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poxyt lately — more wins on the board than ToBK.
  • Win probability leans ToBK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Poxyt arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Poxyt, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
ToBK Clean Sheet 10%
Poxyt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ToBK Poxyt
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 0 6
Draws 0 1
Losses 2 23
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 2 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Suomen Cup
ToBK vs Poxyt
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ToBK Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksson C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Poxyt Compare

Top Goalscorer Jalloh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ToBK 56 / 100
Poxyt 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ToBK Poxyt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ToBK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ToBK's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Poxyt let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Poxyt has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ToBK VS Poxyt
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ToBK

(Home)
27 Apr
ToBK
1 : 2
Poxyt
07 May
ToBK
1 : 2
Malmin Ponnistajat

Poxyt

(Away)
07 May
Poxyt
0 : 3
PK-35
27 Apr
ToBK
1 : 2
Poxyt
22 Sept
Poxyt
1 : 1
Ilves 2
07 Sept
Ilves-Kissat
0 : 3
Poxyt
30 Aug
Honka
4 : 1
Poxyt
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Gilla FC 2
Valtti 1
KelA Akatemia 0
Klubi 04 10
EsPa 2 0
EsPa 6
Malmin Ponnistajat 0
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 4
LPS 2
Keski-Uusimaa 1
GrIFK 1
Mariehamn 2
MuSa 3
Ilves 2 5
Tampere Utd 0
TPS 3
PoPo 2
Edustus IPS 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
JJK Jyvaskyla 3
Lahden Reipas 2
Lahti 1
Soho 0
Mikkelin 3
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JaPS Akatemia 0
Kiffen 5
FC Futura 0
JaPS 7
Santa Claus 1
JS Hercules 4
PonPa 1
AC Oulu 3
VJS 2
EPS 0
Toukolan Teras 2
NJS 3
NuPS 0
HJS 2
Julkis- ja yksityisalojen 1
SalPa 2
ToBK 1
Poxyt 2
TiPS 0
PK-35 6
SJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
EPS 2 1
Atlantis 4
HPS 0
KaPa 4
VPV 0
KPV Kokkola 10
JBK 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
MuurY 0
Jippo 6
Lahti/69 1
KTP 5
Huima / Urho 4
LAUTP 0
ToU 0
Haka 8
KeuPa 1
Union Plaani 2
Vaajakoski 4
PEPO 2
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 2 2
Gnistan/M35 0
Gnistan 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Polin Pallo 2
RiPS 5
LTU 0
Jazz Pori 3
OTP 1
VPS 2 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 2
GBK Kokkola 5
FC Kangasala 0
SalPa 2 2
Tampere Utd 3 0
TPV 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
NiemU 1
MyPa 0
Kyparamaki 0
HAPK 2
FC Kiisto Vaasa 0
OLS Oulu 2
SJK U21 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Honka 3 1
EBK 2
FC Kontu 0
Honka 9
Tuisku 0
Ekenas IF 6
Lasten 0
Inter Turku 4
VIFK 2
Jaro 3
HauPa 4
Kajaanin Haka 1
VJS 2 1
PuiU Helsinki 3
HIFK 3
Atlantis 2 2
Abo IFK 2
NoPS 0
MaPS 1
Pallo-Iirot 2
Harma 1
Tampere Utd 2 3
TP-T 0
VPS 5
1/32-finals
Gilla FC 0
Klubi 04 6
EsPa 1
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
LPS 0
Mariehamn 1
Ilves 2 1
TPS 3
PoPo 2
KuPS Akatemia 3
Lahden Reipas 0
Mikkelin 1
HJK -
TBD -
Kiffen 0
JaPS 6
JS Hercules 1
AC Oulu 5
VJS 2
NJS 0
HJS 2
SalPa 1
Poxyt 0
PK-35 3
SJK -
TBD -
Atlantis 2
KaPa 1
KPV Kokkola 2
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
Jippo 1
KTP 2
Huima / Urho 0
Haka 4
Union Plaani 2
Vaajakoski 0
JaPS 2 0
Gnistan 3
TBD -
Ilves -
RiPS 0
Jazz Pori 2
VPS 2 0
GBK Kokkola 1
SalPa 2 0
TPV 4
TBD -
KuPS -
NiemU 1
HAPK 2
OLS Oulu 4
SJK Akatemia 3
EBK 1
Honka 3
Ekenas IF 2
Inter Turku 1
Jaro 7
HauPa 0
PuiU Helsinki 0
HIFK 2
Abo IFK 4
Pallo-Iirot 6
Tampere Utd 2 1
VPS 2
1/16-finals
Klubi 04 8
EsPa 2
Mariehamn 3
TPS 2
KuPS Akatemia 1
Mikkelin 4
HJK 2
JaPS 1
AC Oulu 2
VJS 1
HJS 0
PK-35 1
SJK 3
Atlantis 2
KPV Kokkola 2
KTP 0
Haka 6
Union Plaani 0
Gnistan 3
Ilves 0
Jazz Pori 3
GBK Kokkola 2
TPV 0
KuPS 2
HAPK 1
OLS Oulu 4
Honka 0
Ekenas IF 1
Jaro 5
HIFK 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
VPS 5
1/8-finals
Klubi 04 4
Mariehamn 3
Mikkelin 0
HJK 1
AC Oulu 2
PK-35 1
SJK 7
KPV Kokkola 0
Haka 3
Gnistan 2
Jazz Pori 2
KuPS 6
OLS Oulu 0
Ekenas IF 1
Jaro 3
VPS 2
Quarter-finals
Klubi 04 0
HJK 4
AC Oulu 2
SJK 0
Haka 1
KuPS 2
Ekenas IF 2
Jaro 4
Semi-finals
HJK 1
AC Oulu 0
KuPS 2
Jaro 0
Final
HJK 1
KuPS 0