Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Tobol host Atyrau in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atyrau have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Tobol have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Tobol slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.00) point toward Tobol. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atyrau haven't matched Tobol's recent run of results.
- Tobol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tobol | Atyrau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 25 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tobol Compare
Atyrau Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tobol's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Atyrau has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tobol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tobol
(Home)Atyrau
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 43 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 37:13 | 42 |
| 3 | Aktobe | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28:21 | 31 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:26 | 30 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Ulytau | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16:18 | 27 |
| 7 | Yelimay Semey | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:22 | 26 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Tobol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:26 | 19 |
| 10 | Kyzylzhar | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 19 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 13:16 | 18 |
| 13 | Kaspij Aktau | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Altai | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 16:23 | 14 |
