Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tobol W vs FC Astana W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women 2025 Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Zeken A.
51' Event
Beibut A.
81' Event
Shulakova A.

AI Match Summary

The League Women 2025 game between Tobol W and FC Astana W finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tobol W
6%
Draws
90%
FC Astana W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Astana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Astana W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Astana W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%
FC Astana W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol W FC Astana W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 4.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 League Women
Tobol W vs FC Astana W
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 League Women
Tobol W vs FC Astana W
0:5
May 19, 2025 League Women
FC Astana W vs Tobol W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Astana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shulakova A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zeken A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol W 10 / 100
FC Astana W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol W FC Astana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tobol W found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Tobol W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tobol W VS FC Astana W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
4.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tobol W

(Home)
20 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 12
Aktobe W
14 Jul
Okzhetpes W
0 : 2
Tobol W
06 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 4
Zhenis Astana W
23 Jun
Zhenis Astana W
3 : 0
Tobol W
15 Jun
Tobol W
4 : 2
Okzhetpes W
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FC Astana W

(Away)
21 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 0
FC Astana W
14 Jul
FC Astana W
2 : 2
Ertis Pavlodar W
07 Jul
Okzhetpes W
4 : 1
FC Astana W
22 Jun
FC Astana W
2 : 0
Okzhetpes W
16 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 2
FC Astana W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W262420225:574
2BIIK Shymkent W262321252:971
3Tomiris-Turan W261943107:2061
4Kyzylzhar W26161969:3949
5Yelimay Semey W26153867:5248
6Kairat W261511066:5646
7Ulytau W261241047:5440
8Zhenis Astana W261131251:6336
9FC Astana W26851346:5529
10Kaisar Kyzylorda W26841445:6328
11Tobol W26651527:11123
12Zhetysu W26422024:10414
13Atyrau W26212327:1817
14Okzhetpes W2601255:2461
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)