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Tobol W vs FC Astana W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women Centralnyj Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Boranbay A.
42' Event
Osipova P.
Assist: Kompaniets D.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Tobol W and FC Astana W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tobol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tobol W
6%
Draws
90%
FC Astana W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Astana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tobol W haven't matched FC Astana W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Astana W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%
FC Astana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tobol W FC Astana W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 League Women
Tobol W vs FC Astana W
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 League Women
Tobol W vs FC Astana W
0:5
May 19, 2025 League Women
FC Astana W vs Tobol W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tobol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Osipova P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Astana W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tobol W 10 / 100
FC Astana W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tobol W FC Astana W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tobol W scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Tobol W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tobol W VS FC Astana W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W111100108:233
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Yelimay Semey W1161428:2019
4Kyzylzhar W1052330:1417
5FC Astana W1051419:2416
6Tobol W1050513:2715
7Ertis Pavlodar W1033414:1512
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W101098:533
10Altai W100195:451