Sport Picks
Tobol W vs Shakhter Karagandy W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
League Women Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay 
Match Events
44'
44'
Mukasheva A.
Assist: Kompaniets D.
AI Match Summary
The League Women game between Tobol W and Shakhter Karagandy W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tobol W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tobol W come out ahead of Shakhter Karagandy W on wins alone.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Shakhter Karagandy W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tobol W | Shakhter Karagandy W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 18 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.68 | 3.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 League Women
Shakhter Karagandy W vs Tobol W
1:0
Jul 27, 2026 League Women
Tobol W vs Shakhter Karagandy W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tobol W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mukasheva A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Shakhter Karagandy W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tobol W 10 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tobol W Shakhter Karagandy W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shakhter Karagandy W let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.
Tobol W scored in 45% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Tobol W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tobol W VS Shakhter Karagandy W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 4.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tobol W
(Home) 08 Sept
FC Astana W
2 : 0 Tobol W
01 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy W
1 : 0 Tobol W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
17 Aug
Altai W
1 : 1 Tobol W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar W
Page 1 of 7
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar W
27 Jul
Tobol W
1 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
20 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 12 Aktobe W
06 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 4 Zhenis Astana W
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Shakhter Karagandy W
(Away) 07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy W
01 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy W
1 : 0 Tobol W
25 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
0 : 0 Altai W
18 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy W
2 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar W
11 Aug
Aktobe W
5 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
Page 1 of 4
07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy W
11 Aug
Aktobe W
5 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
27 Jul
Tobol W
1 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
13 Jul
Zhenis Astana W
9 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
23 Jun
Kyzylzhar W
11 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BIIK Shymkent W | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 132:5 | 45 |
| 2 | Tomiris-Turan W | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 51:12 | 42 |
| 3 | Kairat W | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 43:25 | 28 |
| 4 | Atyrau W | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:30 | 26 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:30 | 25 |
| 6 | Ordabasy W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:39 | 18 |
| 7 | Zhetysu W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:43 | 15 |
| 8 | Ulytau W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5:70 | 4 |
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau W | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1:67 | 3 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aktobe W | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 166:2 | 54 |
| 2 | Zhenis Astana W | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 71:34 | 43 |
| 3 | Kyzylzhar W | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 66:14 | 41 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey W | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 35:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Shakhter Karagandy W | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16:69 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Astana W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 24:55 | 22 |
| 7 | Tobol W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 16:48 | 22 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar W | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:43 | 18 |
| 9 | Altai W | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10:65 | 6 |
| 10 | Okzhetpes W | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13:79 | 6 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
