Sport Picks
Tobol W vs Yelimay Semey W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
League Women Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay 
Match Events
28'
28'
Satygalieva F.
82'
82'
Mamyrova A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Yelimay Semey W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yelimay Semey W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yelimay Semey W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Yelimay Semey W have won more games recently than Tobol W.
- Yelimay Semey W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Yelimay Semey W have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tobol W | Yelimay Semey W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.68 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 League Women
Tobol W vs Yelimay Semey W
0:2
May 5, 2026 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Tobol W
0:1
Sep 8, 2025 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Tobol W
1:0
Jun 16, 2025 League Women
Tobol W vs Yelimay Semey W
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tobol W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Yelimay Semey W Compare
Top Goalscorer Satygalieva F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tobol W 10 / 100
Yelimay Semey W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tobol W Yelimay Semey W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yelimay Semey W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yelimay Semey W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Tobol W's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Tobol W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tobol W VS Yelimay Semey W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tobol W
(Home) 08 Sept
FC Astana W
2 : 0 Tobol W
01 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy W
1 : 0 Tobol W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
17 Aug
Altai W
1 : 1 Tobol W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar W
Page 1 of 7
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
10 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 3 Kyzylzhar W
27 Jul
Tobol W
1 : 0 Shakhter Karagandy W
20 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 12 Aktobe W
06 Jul
Tobol W
0 : 4 Zhenis Astana W
Page 1 of 3
Yelimay Semey W
(Away) 07 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 1 Shakhter Karagandy W
01 Sept
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 2 Zhenis Astana W
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
18 Aug
Yelimay Semey W
3 : 0 FC Astana W
11 Aug
Okzhetpes W
0 : 1 Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 6
24 Aug
Tobol W
0 : 2 Yelimay Semey W
11 Aug
Okzhetpes W
0 : 1 Yelimay Semey W
27 Jul
Zhenis Astana W
1 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
20 Jul
Kyzylzhar W
4 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
07 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 3 Yelimay Semey W
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BIIK Shymkent W | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 132:5 | 45 |
| 2 | Tomiris-Turan W | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 51:12 | 42 |
| 3 | Kairat W | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 43:25 | 28 |
| 4 | Atyrau W | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:30 | 26 |
| 5 | Kaisar Kyzylorda W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:30 | 25 |
| 6 | Ordabasy W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:39 | 18 |
| 7 | Zhetysu W | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:43 | 15 |
| 8 | Ulytau W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5:70 | 4 |
| 9 | Kaspij Aktau W | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1:67 | 3 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aktobe W | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 166:2 | 54 |
| 2 | Zhenis Astana W | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 71:34 | 43 |
| 3 | Kyzylzhar W | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 66:14 | 41 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey W | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 35:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Shakhter Karagandy W | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16:69 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Astana W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 24:55 | 22 |
| 7 | Tobol W | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 16:48 | 22 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar W | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:43 | 18 |
| 9 | Altai W | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10:65 | 6 |
| 10 | Okzhetpes W | 18 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13:79 | 6 |
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)
