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Tocantinopolis vs Arsenal (TO)

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 game between Tocantinopolis and Arsenal (TO) finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tocantinopolis
6%
Draws
4%
Arsenal (TO)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tocantinopolis come out ahead of Arsenal (TO) on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tocantinopolis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal (TO) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Arsenal (TO)
Matches Played 45 12
Wins 22 1
Draws 12 3
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Arsenal (TO)
3:3
Apr 17, 2019 Tocantinense
Arsenal (TO) vs Tocantinopolis
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 85 / 100
Arsenal (TO) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Arsenal (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arsenal (TO) conceded in 100% of 12 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Arsenal (TO) registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tocantinopolis found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (45 games).

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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Arsenal (TO)

(Away)
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
SD Sparta
1 : 0
Arsenal (TO)
19 Oct
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Arsenal (TO)
12 Oct
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
12 May
Arsenal (TO)
1 : 2
Araguaina
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmas640210:712
2Forca Jovem Aquidaba62229:88
3Interporto62138:87
4Alvorada62137:117
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis842216:1014
2SD Sparta842211:914
3Cerrado83329:812
4Araguaina81436:97
5Arsenal (TO)813414:206
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2019 (Play Offs)