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Tocantinopolis vs Guarai SC

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 game between Tocantinopolis and Guarai SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tocantinopolis
6%
Draws
4%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tocantinopolis come out ahead of Guarai SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tocantinopolis a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Guarai SC
Matches Played 44 33
Wins 23 12
Draws 13 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Guarai SC
2:0
May 9, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantinopolis
1:3
Apr 7, 2015 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Guarai SC
1:1
Apr 12, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantinopolis
1:1
Feb 23, 2014 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Guarai SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 85 / 100
Guarai SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Guarai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (44 games).

Defensive concern: Guarai SC conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Tocantinopolis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Guarai SC
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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Guarai SC

(Away)
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Guarai SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gurupi1481521:1425
2Tocantinopolis1473430:1924
3Palmas1466231:2324
4Interporto1464418:1122
5Tocantins1454523:2119
6Araguaina1454518:2119
7Colinas1426619:3412
8Guarai SC1414911:287
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 (Play Offs)