Sport Picks

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Tocantinopolis vs Picos

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021 Estadio Joao Ribeiro, Tocantinopolis
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Marcio
85' Event
Silva S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Tocantinopolis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
45%
Picos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Picos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Tocantinopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tocantinopolis, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 10%
Picos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Picos
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Serie D
Picos vs Tocantinopolis
3:2
May 26, 2021 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs Picos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Picos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 34 / 100
Picos 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Picos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Picos conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Tocantinopolis found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

Tocantinopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Picos
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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Picos

(Away)
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Santana EC 1
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 5
Tocantinopolis 4
Picos 3
Real Ariquemes 1
Brasiliense 5
Aquidauanense 1
Rio Branco ES 6