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Tocantinopolis vs Picos

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021 Estadio Joao Ribeiro, Tocantinopolis
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Marcio
85' Event
Silva S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Tocantinopolis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tocantinopolis
6%
Draws
4%
Picos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tocantinopolis a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Tocantinopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tocantinopolis, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%
Picos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Picos
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Serie D
Picos vs Tocantinopolis
3:2
May 26, 2021 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs Picos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Picos Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 95 / 100
Picos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Picos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Picos conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Tocantinopolis found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Tocantinopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

Picos

(Away)
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
04 Oct
Flamengo PI
3 : 0
Picos
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
27 Sept
Picos
2 : 2
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Santana EC1
Gremio Atletico Sampaio5
Tocantinopolis4
Picos3
Real Ariquemes1
Brasiliense5
Aquidauanense1
Rio Branco ES6