Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Felipe Para
81'
81'
Diogo
90'
90'
Wesley
AI Match Summary
The Serie D 2024 game between Tocantinopolis and River-PI finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River-PI.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- River-PI haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
- Model gives Tocantinopolis a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%
River-PI Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tocantinopolis | River-PI |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 23, 2024 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs River-PI
0:3
May 26, 2024 Serie D
River-PI vs Tocantinopolis
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tocantinopolis Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
River-PI Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe Para
1 Goals Assists Leader Diogo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tocantinopolis 95 / 100
River-PI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tocantinopolis River-PI
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Tocantinopolis scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.
River-PI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Tocantinopolis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tocantinopolis
(Home) 06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1 Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1 Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1 Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0 Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3 Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1 Oratorio
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0 Imperatriz
02 May
Tocantinopolis
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
19 Apr
Tocantinopolis
0 : 1 Trem
16 Apr
Tocantinopolis
0 : 0 Atletico GO
Page 1 of 4
River-PI
(Away) 01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0 River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0 Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1 Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0 River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1 Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0 River-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0 River-PI
25 Jan
Fluminense-PI
4 : 1 River-PI
11 Jan
Atletico-PI
2 : 1 River-PI
03 Aug
Porto Velho
1 : 0 River-PI
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manauara | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 35:7 | 34 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:15 | 28 |
| 3 | Princesa do Solimoes | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23:16 | 25 |
| 4 | Manaus FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Trem | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | 18 |
| 6 | Sao Raimundo RR | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 7 | Rio Branco AC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:25 | 12 |
| 8 | SC Humaita | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7:36 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maranhao | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 2 | AE Altos | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 24 |
| 3 | River-PI | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Tocantinopolis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Cameta | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Fluminense-PI | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 7 | Moto Club | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 8 | Aguia De Maraba | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12:19 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treze PB | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Iguatu | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 14:8 | 27 |
| 3 | America RN | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 18:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Atletico Cearense | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 5 | Sousa | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | 16 |
| 7 | Maracana | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 8 | Potiguar de Mossoró | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itabaiana | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Retro | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 3 | Jacuipense | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15:13 | 23 |
| 4 | ASA | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 21 |
| 5 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 6 | Juazeirense | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 21 |
| 7 | Petrolina | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6:19 | 10 |
| 8 | Sergipe | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11:22 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Anapolis | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Mixto | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 18:13 | 22 |
| 4 | CRAC | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 13:8 | 22 |
| 5 | Ipora | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 6 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 7 | Real Brasilia | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 8 | Capital FC | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:29 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nova Iguacu | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Portuguesa RJ | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 18:6 | 25 |
| 3 | Itabuna | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Noroeste | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Serra | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Ipatinga | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8:18 | 11 |
| 7 | Democrata SL | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 10 |
| 8 | Audax RJ | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10:19 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maringa FC | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 25:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Internacional de Limeira | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Agua Santa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | 21 |
| 5 | Santo Andre | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Pouso Alegre | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Sao Jose EC | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Patrocinense | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6:32 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cianorte | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Brasil de Pelotas | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 3 | Avenida | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 4 | Novo Hamburgo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 5 | Hercilio Luz | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 11:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Concordia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Cascavel | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8:12 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)
