Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017

SD Sparta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis play SD Sparta in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tocantinopolis averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Tocantinopolis won 4, SD Sparta won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2020 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Tocantinopolis and 1.13 for SD Sparta. This points to a Tocantinopolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Tocantinopolis

16%

Draws

35%

SD Sparta

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Tocantinopolis picked up more points recently compared to SD Sparta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 21%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tocantinopolis	SD Sparta
Matches Played	50	33
Wins	27	14
Draws	13	7
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	2.14	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.08	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Tocantinense

Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Apr 28, 2019 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Tocantinopolis

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Apr 7, 2019 Tocantinense

Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

May 23, 2018 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Tocantinopolis

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Apr 10, 2018 Tocantinense

Tocantinopolis vs SD Sparta

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 48 / 100

SD Sparta 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tocantinopolis SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tocantinopolis or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tocantinopolis attacking → ← attacking SD Sparta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis scored in 82% of their last 50 games.

SD Sparta let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tocantinopolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SD Sparta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

94 Points in last 5 49

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Interporto	6	3	2	1	7:3	11
2	Gurupi	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
3	Paraiso EC	6	2	3	1	5:4	9
4	Capital FC	6	0	2	4	7:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SD Sparta	6	4	2	0	13:4	14
2	Tocantinopolis	6	3	2	1	10:7	11
3	Tocantins	6	2	1	3	7:8	7
4	Colinas	6	0	1	5	4:15	1