Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Gustavo C.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D 2022 game between Tocantinopolis and SE Juventude finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SE Juventude.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tocantinopolis come out ahead of SE Juventude on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Tocantinopolis's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Serie D 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%
SE Juventude Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tocantinopolis | SE Juventude |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 25, 2022 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs SE Juventude
0:1
May 7, 2022 Serie D
SE Juventude vs Tocantinopolis
0:0
Jul 31, 2021 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs SE Juventude
0:1
Jul 11, 2021 Serie D
SE Juventude vs Tocantinopolis
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tocantinopolis Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
SE Juventude Compare
Top Goalscorer Gustavo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tocantinopolis 68 / 100
SE Juventude 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tocantinopolis SE Juventude
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tocantinopolis's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
SE Juventude's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Tocantinopolis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tocantinopolis
(Home) 06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1 Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1 Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1 Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0 Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3 Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1 Oratorio
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0 Imperatriz
02 May
Tocantinopolis
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
19 Apr
Tocantinopolis
0 : 1 Trem
16 Apr
Tocantinopolis
0 : 0 Atletico GO
Page 1 of 4
SE Juventude
(Away) 31 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 SE Juventude
23 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 0 Amazonas
17 Jul
Fluminense-PI
1 : 2 SE Juventude
09 Jul
SE Juventude
2 : 2 Tuna Luso
02 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 1 Moto Club
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 SE Juventude
17 Jul
Fluminense-PI
1 : 2 SE Juventude
25 Jun
Tocantinopolis
0 : 1 SE Juventude
17 Jun
Pacajus
0 : 1 SE Juventude
04 Jun
Julho Esporte
2 : 2 SE Juventude
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amazonas | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 37:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Rio Branco AC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Sao Raimundo AM | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Sao Raimundo RR | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Porto Velho | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Trem | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 29:27 | 16 |
| 7 | SC Humaita | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11:32 | 6 |
| 8 | Nautico FC | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:57 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moto Club | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Tocantinopolis | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 3 | Pacajus | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 4 | SE Juventude | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Fluminense-PI | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Castanhal | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Tuna Luso | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:25 | 13 |
| 8 | Julho Esporte | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13:19 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Retro | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27:6 | 33 |
| 2 | America RN | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 20:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Sousa | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:17 | 23 |
| 4 | Afogados da Ingazeira | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Icasa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo Crystal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 7 | Globo FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Crato | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:33 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 3 | Jacuipense | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:15 | 19 |
| 5 | Sergipe | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Juazeirense | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Clube Sociedade Esportiva | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | 14 |
| 8 | Alagoinhas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 33 |
| 2 | Anapolis | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Operario VG | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Ceilandia | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Ipora | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 7 | Gremio Anapolis | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Acao | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pouso Alegre | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 26 |
| 2 | Bahia de Feira | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Real Noroeste | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Nova Venecia | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Internacional de Limeira | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 6 | Ferroviaria | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:14 | 16 |
| 7 | URT | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 8 | Caldense | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Bernardo | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13:3 | 27 |
| 2 | Parana | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 13:8 | 23 |
| 3 | Portuguesa RJ | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Nova Iguacu | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Cianorte | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9:23 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SER Caxias do Sul | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 2 | Aimore | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 27 |
| 3 | FC Cascavel | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16:10 | 25 |
| 4 | Azuriz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Marcilio Dias | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 7 | Gremio Juventus | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 8 | Prospera Criciuma | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)
