Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tocantins B vs Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2006
Tocantins B Logo

Tocantins B

1 - 3
FT
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2006 game between Tocantins B and Alvorada finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tocantins B
35%
Draws
30%
Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tocantins B haven't matched Alvorada's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alvorada a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tocantins B Clean Sheet 20%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins B Alvorada
Matches Played 20 36
Wins 3 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.85 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2006 Tocantinense
Tocantins B vs Alvorada
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins B 20 / 100
Alvorada 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins B Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tocantins B found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

Alvorada has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Tocantins B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alvorada
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins B

(Home)
01 May
Araguaina
3 : 0
Tocantins B
28 Apr
Tocantins B
3 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
22 Apr
Tocantinopolis
4 : 1
Tocantins B
14 Apr
Kabure EC
0 : 3
Tocantins B
11 Apr
Tocantins B
0 : 0
Tocantins
Page 1 of 4

Alvorada

(Away)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 10 7 2 1 28:7 23
2 Palmas 10 5 4 1 18:8 19
3 Araguaina 10 5 4 1 14:6 19
4 Colinas 10 5 3 2 22:9 18
5 Gurupi 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
6 Interporto 10 3 4 3 13:13 13
7 Alvorada 10 3 3 4 10:19 12
8 Tocantins 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
9 Miracema EC 10 2 2 6 9:26 8
10 Paraiso EC 10 1 4 5 12:18 7
11 Tocantins B 10 0 1 9 7:37 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2006 (Second stage)