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Tocantins vs Paraiso EC

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2025
Sat, Oct 4, 2025
0 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tocantins host Paraiso EC in the Tocantinense 2 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Paraiso EC have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Tocantins have conceded 2.48 and scored 0.76. Head-to-head, Tocantins have won 1 to Paraiso EC's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.83) point toward Paraiso EC. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tocantins
30%
Draws
58%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paraiso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantins have won more games recently than Paraiso EC.
  • Win probability leans Paraiso EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 11%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Paraiso EC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.76 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:3
Jun 15, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
1:1
Jun 11, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
0:0
May 10, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
1:2
Apr 17, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 10 / 100
Paraiso EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraiso EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tocantins scored in 42% of their last 33 games.

Tocantins has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS Paraiso EC
1 Goals Scored 1.67
2 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
18 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 0
Paraiso EC
12 Oct
Paraiso EC
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
2 Uniao de Palmas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Alvorada 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
4 Interporto 4 2 2 0 11:2 2
5 Taquarussu 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarai SC 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 Paraiso EC 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Central Tocantinense 4 2 1 1 8:7 1
4 Araguaia (TO) 4 1 0 3 4:10 -6
5 Tocantins 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2025 (Play Offs)