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Tocantins vs Paraiso EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tocantins
30%
Draws
58%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paraiso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantins carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paraiso EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tocantins have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paraiso EC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 11%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Paraiso EC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.66 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:3
Jun 15, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
1:1
Jun 11, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
0:0
May 10, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
1:2
Apr 17, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 10 / 100
Paraiso EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tocantins scored in 41% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Tocantins stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS Paraiso EC
1 Goals Scored 1.67
2 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
18 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 0
Paraiso EC
12 Oct
Paraiso EC
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gurupi 1
Interporto 0
Paraiso EC 1
Tocantins 1
Final
Gurupi 3
Tocantins 2