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Tocha vs Coimbroes

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Second Division - Zona Centro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tocha
20%
Draws
32%
Coimbroes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Coimbroes have won more games recently than Tocha.
  • Win probability leans Tocha's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tocha Clean Sheet 19%
Coimbroes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocha Coimbroes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha vs Coimbroes
1:1
Dec 9, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Coimbroes vs Tocha
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocha 36 / 100
Coimbroes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocha Coimbroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbroes let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Coimbroes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tocha scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Coimbroes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocha

(Home)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
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Coimbroes

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Cinfaes
3 : 1
Coimbroes
16 Mar
FC Alpendorada
2 : 1
Coimbroes
09 Mar
Coimbroes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 30 16 10 4 47:21 58
2 Cinfaes 30 14 11 5 50:31 53
3 Operario 30 13 9 8 44:33 48
4 SC Espinho 30 13 9 8 36:32 48
5 SB Castelo Branco 30 12 10 8 44:33 46
6 FC Pampilhosa 30 13 7 10 42:38 46
7 Sousense 30 10 11 9 37:34 41
8 Anadia 30 12 4 14 31:38 40
9 Sao Joao de Ver 30 11 7 12 35:39 40
10 Coimbroes 30 8 13 9 35:41 37
11 Nogueirense 30 9 9 12 34:39 36
12 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 27:31 35
13 FC Cesarense 30 8 10 12 28:35 34
14 Bustelo 30 6 13 11 32:41 31
15 SC Lusitania 30 6 11 13 38:50 29
16 Tocha 30 3 11 16 24:48 20
Promotion - Segunda Liga 2013/2014 (Main)