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Tocha vs Sousense

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha Logo

Tocha

1 - 4
FT
Sousense Logo

Sousense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro game between Tocha and Sousense finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sousense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tocha
15%
Draws
57%
Sousense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sousense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sousense come out ahead of Tocha on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tocha Clean Sheet 12%
Sousense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocha Sousense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.83 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2013 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha vs Sousense
1:4
Oct 28, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Sousense vs Tocha
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocha 30 / 100
Sousense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocha Sousense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sousense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sousense conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sousense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tocha scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocha VS Sousense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocha

(Home)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

Sousense

(Away)
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
25 Jul
Sousense
2 : 1
Uniao Lamas
22 Apr
Sousense
2 : 1
Gondomar
15 Apr
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 30 16 10 4 47:21 58
2 Cinfaes 30 14 11 5 50:31 53
3 Operario 30 13 9 8 44:33 48
4 SC Espinho 30 13 9 8 36:32 48
5 SB Castelo Branco 30 12 10 8 44:33 46
6 FC Pampilhosa 30 13 7 10 42:38 46
7 Sousense 30 10 11 9 37:34 41
8 Anadia 30 12 4 14 31:38 40
9 Sao Joao de Ver 30 11 7 12 35:39 40
10 Coimbroes 30 8 13 9 35:41 37
11 Nogueirense 30 9 9 12 34:39 36
12 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 27:31 35
13 FC Cesarense 30 8 10 12 28:35 34
14 Bustelo 30 6 13 11 32:41 31
15 SC Lusitania 30 6 11 13 38:50 29
16 Tocha 30 3 11 16 24:48 20
Promotion - Segunda Liga 2013/2014 (Main)