Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League City Football Station

Match Events

12'

Arthur Feitoza

Assist: Fujii T.

43'

Fujii T.

Assist: Ishibashi S.

50'

Yamada H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tochigi City host Shonan Bellmare in the J2/J3 League. This one's hard to separate. Tochigi City have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Shonan Bellmare's 1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Tochigi City have won 1 to Shonan Bellmare's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.25) back Tochigi City to edge this. Tochigi City in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tochigi City

Draws

Shonan Bellmare

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tochigi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tochigi City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shonan Bellmare.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tochigi City.
League standings and seasonal metrics in J2/J3 League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Tochigi City Clean Sheet 68%

Shonan Bellmare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tochigi City	Shonan Bellmare
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	13
Draws	2	2
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League

Shonan Bellmare vs Tochigi City

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tochigi City vs Shonan Bellmare

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tochigi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Saito K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Shonan Bellmare Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Feitoza

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fujii T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tochigi City 95 / 100

Shonan Bellmare 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tochigi City Shonan Bellmare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tochigi City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Shonan Bellmare let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tochigi City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shonan Bellmare lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tochigi City VS Shonan Bellmare

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15