Sport Picks
Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J3 League Kanseki Stadium Tochigi, Utsunomiya 
Match Events
45'
45'
Tabata R.
46'
46'
Sub
Kawabe S. In: Yoshida K.
Out: Kawabe S.
57'
57'
Matsushita Y.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Giravanz Kitakyushu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tochigi SC lately — more wins on the board than Giravanz Kitakyushu.
- Tochigi SC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 15%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tochigi SC | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
2:2
Jun 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
0:1
May 3, 2025 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tochigi SC
0:0
Nov 28, 2021 J2 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Tochigi SC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tochigi SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Suzuki W. I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Igarashi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tochigi SC 35 / 100
Giravanz Kitakyushu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tochigi SC Giravanz Kitakyushu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tochigi SC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Giravanz Kitakyushu has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Tochigi SC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tochigi SC VS Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tochigi SC
(Home) 26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
05 Sept
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Kochi United
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26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
05 Sept
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Kochi United
22 Aug
Tochigi SC
2 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
19 Aug
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Urayasu SC
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Giravanz Kitakyushu
(Away) 03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0 Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4 Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
09 Sept
Ryukyu
3 : 0 Giravanz Kitakyushu
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
22 Aug
Tochigi SC
2 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
18 Jul
Yokohama FC
3 : 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 6 | SC Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Nagano Parceiro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 14 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | 4 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
