Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Kanseki Stadium Tochigi, Utsunomiya
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tochigi SC host Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Tochigi SC at 1.17 goals for, 1.62 against; Renofa Yamaguchi at 1.45 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Tochigi SC slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2024, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.25 - 1.56) back Renofa Yamaguchi to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tochigi SC
30%
Draws
61%
Renofa Yamaguchi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Tochigi SC haven't matched Renofa Yamaguchi's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Renofa Yamaguchi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 15%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tochigi SC Renofa Yamaguchi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2024 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC
4:3
Apr 7, 2024 J2 League
Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0:0
Jun 24, 2023 J2 League
Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0:0
Apr 8, 2023 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC
1:1
Jul 23, 2022 J2 League
Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tochigi SC 10 / 100
Renofa Yamaguchi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tochigi SC Renofa Yamaguchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tochigi SC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Renofa Yamaguchi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tochigi SC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tochigi SC VS Renofa Yamaguchi
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tochigi SC

(Home)
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6

Renofa Yamaguchi

(Away)
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2
SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3
Renofa Yamaguchi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
4 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
5 FC Osaka 9 4 4 1 17:8 16
6 SC Sagamihara 9 4 3 2 15:10 15
7 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
8 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
9 Kanazawa 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 9 1 2 6 10:17 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)