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Toftir vs AB Argir

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands

Premier League Svangaskard
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toftir play AB Argir in the Premier League. AB Argir are favorites here. Recently, Toftir averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. AB Argir averaged 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Toftir won 1, AB Argir won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 29, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Toftir and 1.75 for AB Argir. This points to a AB Argir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Toftir
21%
Draws
57%
AB Argir
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: AB Argir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Toftir picked up more points recently compared to AB Argir.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Toftir Clean Sheet 12%
AB Argir Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toftir AB Argir
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.34 2
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Premier League
Toftir vs AB Argir
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
AB Argir vs Toftir
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Premier League
Toftir vs AB Argir
2:2
Jul 27, 2023 Premier League
AB Argir vs Toftir
3:1
May 5, 2023 Premier League
Toftir vs AB Argir
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toftir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AB Argir Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacobsen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toftir 22 / 100
AB Argir 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toftir AB Argir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AB Argir Win (2)
Secondary Pick AB Argir & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Toftir attacking → ← attacking AB Argir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toftir scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

AB Argir let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Toftir went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

AB Argir lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 61
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NSI Runavik16104230:1634
2Klaksvik1687131:1231
3B36 Torshavn1676327:2027
4Vikingur1668224:1626
5HB Torshavn1673628:2324
6AB Argir1662822:2520
7EB Streymur1645718:2317
8Skala Itrottarfelag1635815:2414
907 Vestur Sorvagur16411112:3013
10Toftir16331017:3512