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Toftir vs Vikingur

Faroe Islands Faroe Islands

Premier League Svangaskard, Toftir
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toftir host Vikingur in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Toftir at 1.27 goals for, 2.07 against; Vikingur at 1.8 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Vikingur slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.44, favoring Vikingur. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Toftir
35%
Draws
49%
Vikingur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vikingur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Toftir haven't matched Vikingur's recent run of results.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Toftir Clean Sheet 16%
Vikingur Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toftir Vikingur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.27 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier League
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Toftir vs Vikingur
2:2
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:1
Jun 17, 2025 Faroe Islands Cup
Vikingur vs Toftir
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toftir 31 / 100
Vikingur 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toftir Vikingur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vikingur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Toftir's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vikingur conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Toftir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toftir VS Vikingur
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Toftir

(Home)
19 Sept
Toftir
2 : 3
EB Streymur
13 Sept
AB Argir
1 : 1
Toftir
30 Aug
B36 Torshavn
1 : 1
Toftir
23 Aug
Toftir
0 : 1
Skala Itrottarfelag
16 Aug
HB Torshavn
2 : 0
Toftir
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Vikingur

(Away)
19 Sept
Vikingur
3 : 3
07 Vestur Sorvagur
13 Sept
NSI Runavik
1 : 1
Vikingur
05 Sept
Vikingur
2 : 0
Klaksvik
28 Aug
Vikingur
1 : 3
HB Torshavn
21 Aug
Vikingur
0 : 0
B36 Torshavn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 NSI Runavik 23 14 6 3 47:26 48
2 Klaksvik 23 12 9 2 45:21 45
3 HB Torshavn 23 12 5 6 44:28 41
4 Vikingur 23 8 11 4 34:27 35
5 B36 Torshavn 23 9 8 6 33:28 35
6 EB Streymur 23 7 5 11 30:38 26
7 AB Argir 23 7 3 13 31:42 24
8 Skala Itrottarfelag 23 5 8 10 25:37 23
9 07 Vestur Sorvagur 23 5 4 14 21:41 19
10 Toftir 23 4 5 14 24:46 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Deild 2027 (Main)