Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Groene Ster
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- TOGB have won more games recently than Groene Ster.
- 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- History favors TOGB here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TOGB | Groene Ster |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Groene Ster
3:3
May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Groene Ster
5:1
Dec 7, 2025 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs TOGB
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Groene Ster
2:0
Sep 24, 2023 Derde Divisie
Groene Ster vs TOGB
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TOGB 29 / 100
Groene Ster 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TOGB Groene Ster
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOGB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TOGB's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Groene Ster's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Solid form: TOGB remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
TOGB VS Groene Ster
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
TOGB
(Home) 12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
25 Apr
TOGB
2 : 3 SVV Scheveningen
Page 1 of 3
Groene Ster
(Away) 12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0 VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
Groene Ster
2 : 1 VV Heerjansdam
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3 VVSB
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
25 Apr
SteDoCo
3 : 0 Groene Ster
06 Apr
Blauw Geel
4 : 0 Groene Ster
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genemuiden | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 15 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | TEC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 9 | VV Hoogeveen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 10 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Sparta Nijkerk | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13:14 | 5 |
| 12 | VV DOVO | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Staphorst | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 14 | Eemdijk | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 15 | USV Hercules | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 16 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 2 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisse | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 13 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 11 |
| 4 | RKSV UDI 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | SV Poortugaal | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Dongen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 7 | Excelsior Maassluis | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | GOES | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Roosendaal | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Gemert | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 11 | UNA | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 14 | VVSB | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 15 | VV Zwaluwen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
