Sport Picks
TOGB vs Roosendaal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
TOGB in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOGB
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Roosendaal average 2.03 goals a game right now, well clear of TOGB's 1.97.
- TOGB are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
- TOGB have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TOGB | Roosendaal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Roosendaal
4:3
Apr 19, 2026 Derde Divisie
Roosendaal vs TOGB
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Roosendaal
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TOGB 47 / 100
Roosendaal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TOGB Roosendaal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOGB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TOGB scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Roosendaal conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.
Roosendaal's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
TOGB VS Roosendaal
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
TOGB
(Home) 03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
Page 1 of 3
Roosendaal
(Away) 03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1 VVSB
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1 Roosendaal
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3 Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3 Roosendaal
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1 Roosendaal
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
02 Sept
GSV 28
0 : 4 Roosendaal
29 Aug
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0 Roosendaal
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
