Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between TOGB and VV Noordwijk finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VV Noordwijk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VV Noordwijk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- TOGB haven't matched VV Noordwijk's recent run of results.
- VV Noordwijk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and VV Noordwijk have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TOGB | VV Noordwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VV Noordwijk
0:3
May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs TOGB
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs VV Noordwijk
0:1
Sep 4, 2024 KNVB Beker
TOGB vs VV Noordwijk
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TOGB 10 / 100
VV Noordwijk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TOGB VV Noordwijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: TOGB scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: VV Noordwijk conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: TOGB stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TOGB VS VV Noordwijk
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
TOGB
(Home) 26 Sept
Achilles Veen
0 : 1 TOGB
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 3
VV Noordwijk
(Away) 26 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 2 VV Zwaluwen
22 Sept
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0 Frisia
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0 VVSB
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0 VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0 VV Noordwijk
02 Sept
GOES
0 : 1 VV Noordwijk
22 Aug
Achilles Veen
0 : 4 VV Noordwijk
16 May
VV Kloetinge
2 : 2 VV Noordwijk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:6 | 16 |
| 5 | VV Scherpenzeel | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 7 | TEC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9:24 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 16 |
| 3 | Lisse | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 5 | GOES | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Gemert | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Dongen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 9 | VV Zwaluwen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 13 | UNA | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 14 | VVSB | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 7 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | TOGB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
